June 28, 2022, 15:04

Premier League permutations: Title race, Champions League, Europe and relegation state of play

Premier League permutations: Title race, Champions League, Europe and relegation state of play

The Premier League is entering the final few days of the season and there is still plenty to play for in the remaining matches.

Manchester City rescued a 2-2 draw at West Ham leaving the door open for Liverpool to move a point behind them with a 2-1 victory at Southampton.

Jurgen Klopp’s side still need City to drop points in their final game of the season at home to Aston Villa if they are to claim a domestic treble.

Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal are vying for the final Champions League spot while Manchester United and West Ham are battling it out for qualification for the Europa League and Europa Conference League respectively.

And, at the bottom end of the table, one of Leeds, Burnley and Everton will join Norwich and Watford in the Sky Bet Championship.

Sky Sports runs through the state of play and all the permutations as the season reaches its crescendo.

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Title race

Man City can draw on their experiences of last-day success

Manchester City (90 points) have already won three Premier League titles on the final day of the season – in 2012, 2014 and 2019 – and they could do so again this Sunday.

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Pep Guardiola’s men lead Liverpool by a solitary point. It means City need to win against Aston Villa to be sure of a sixth Premier League title.

Liverpool (89 points) would be crowned champions with a win over Wolves on Sunday at Anfield if City drop points.

A draw is unlikely to be enough for Liverpool as even a defeat for City would likely mean they remain top courtesy of the six-goal swing that is required.

Sky Bet odds to win Premier League…

Man City: 1/8 with Sky Bet

Liverpool: 5/1 with Sky Bet

Race for top four

Tottenham are in the driving seat against Arsenal

Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea have confirmed their place in next season’s Champions League group stages.

After their draw with Leicester, Chelsea (71 points) have effectively sealed third place – only an 18-goal swing would see Tottenham usurp them on Sunday when the Blues will host already-relegated Watford.

Fourth-placed Spurs can still be caught by Arsenal (66 points), who suffered a major blow to their Champions League aspirations on Monday night.

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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights of Newcastle United’s win against Arsenal

The Gunners host Everton on Sunday knowing even victory might not be enough to secure a top-four Premier League finish after their costly 2-0 defeat at Newcastle.

That left them two points adrift of arch-rivals Tottenham, whose superior goal difference means a draw at relegated Norwich, barring a cricket score at the Emirates Stadium, will be enough to keep their neighbours at bay.

Sky Bet odds to qualify for Champions League…

Tottenham: 1/33 with Sky Bet

Arsenal: 10/1 with Sky Bet

Race for Europe

Man Utd are on track to finish in the Europa League

One of Tottenham and Arsenal are guaranteed to be in the Europa League group stages by finishing in fifth place. With Liverpool winning both domestic cups, sixth place in the Premier League will also seal a group-stage position in this competition.

Manchester United and West Ham are still in contention, and whoever finishes seventh will play in the Europa Conference League, entering in the play-off round.

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Highlights from West Ham’s match against Manchester City

Two points clear of West Ham but with an inferior goal difference, Man Utd (58 points) need to beat Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park to be assured of sixth.

West Ham (56 points) are away to Brighton and would rise a position if they win at the Amex Stadium and Man Utd fail to do likewise.

Man Utd are sure of finishing sixth if West Ham don’t win.

Eighth-placed Wolves, on 51 points, can no longer qualify for Europe.

Sky Bet odds to qualify for Europa League…

Man Utd: 1/5 with Sky Bet

West Ham: 10/3 with Sky Bet

Relegation picture

Everton’s remarkable comeback win over Crystal Palace means they are safe from relegation, leaving Leeds and Burnley to fight it out for Premier League survival on the final day.

Perhaps crucially, Burnley’s vastly superior goal difference (-18 compared to -38) means they hold a clear advantage over Leeds even though both clubs will start Sunday level on 35 points.

The chasm in goal difference effectively means that Leeds will need to better Burnley’s result if they are to stay up, while Burnley will avoid relegation if they win at home to Newcastle or if Leeds lose at Brentford.

Premier League final day fixtures

Arsenal vs Everton
Brentford vs Leeds United – Live on Sky Sports
Brighton vs West Ham
Burnley vs Newcastle
Chelsea vs Watford
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United
Leicester vs Southampton
Liverpool vs Wolves – Live on Sky Sports
Man City vs Aston Villa – Live on Sky Sports
Norwich vs Tottenham

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